The January month is typically well thought out to be the coldest month of a year in Delhi as well as northwest India. However, this time the things are little change as per the India Meteorological Department report where the scientists said that the first 10 nights of January are to be expected to be warmer than the last 10 nights of December 2018.
The India Meteorological Department deputy director general, BP Yadav said “The cold spell has come to an end”. He further added by saying, “December has been unusually cold this time. A western disturbance is likely to hit Delhi over the weekend and the minimum temperature is expected to rise.”
In the last ten days of December in Delhi the minimum temperature recoded had continued below 5°C and now it is expected to touch 9°C over the weekend in January. In Delhi, the normal minimum temperature in December is 8.3°C, however for January the average minimum temperature is 7.6°C.
However, in the coming days the day temperature might fall about 18°C and for the January month, the average maximum temperature is 20.5°C.
The India Meteorological Department has estimated that the upcoming western disruption would be quite intense and may possibly generate light rain and thunderstorm above Delhi and NCR on 5th and 6th January 2019.
The department is moreover guessing some rain over the weekend and an influence of restrained to dense smog initially following next week.
Kuldeep Srivastava who is the head of the regional weather forecasting centre in Delhi said, “The rain would push up moisture content of the air, which in turn could result in a moderate or dense fog on January 7 and 8”.
However, IMD scientists also said that it is very early to predict the weather of January 2019 that whether the climate would be less foggy or might be colder as December 2018.
In December 2018, Delhi comes across the minimum number of dense smog hours in the past 22 years. It was also considered the coldest December from past 13 years as well as the third coldest in past 50 years.
BP Yadav said “It would, however, be difficult to forecast whether January 2019 would behave in the same way – less foggy and colder than usual. It would all depend on the western disturbances and other meteorological parameters”.
The meteorologists from India Meteorological Department said that the winter temperature and smog influences in Delhi are directed mainly by western instabilities.
BP Yadav further said, “Western disturbances can push up the night temperature, bring rain and trigger fog spells. In January, at least five to six westerly disturbances hit northwest India”.
Kuldeep Srivastava also said about this matter, “In January we have already had a western disturbance hitting north India triggering snow in the hills and rain in isolated parts of Punjab and Haryana. While the second one is expected to hit Delhi around 5 – 6 January, a third WD could hit north India next week”.
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